VICTORY IN IRAN IS A FUTILE FANTASY
Almost exactly five years ago, the first post on this site included the quote:.“ And so, to the end of history, murder shall breed murder, always in the name of right and honour and peace, until the gods are tired of blood and create a race that can understand.” The Iran war encapsulates the gods task in one word: futile.
That’s because “right, honour and peace” have no bearing on it. The civilian victims, both in Iran and Israel, are treated as a consequence of defeating evil, and therefore the fault of the other side.
Unless it suits their narrative, the mountebanks in charge offer little more than passing reference and empathy to the human consequences. The dead, maimed, wounded, widowed, orphaned and traumatised, the mounds of rubble that were once homes, businesses, hopes and dreams, are an addendum at best.
Victimhood and suffering are portrayed and measured by the effects on those far from the front lines and target zones.
The scale is “paying at the pumps”, tumbling stocks indices, adverse effects on food prices and anything else that might in some way detract from our sense of security and well-being.
Military briefers prefer to dwell on the means to reach and justify their ends.
Revelling in his vainglorious title of Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth snarls out numbers of targets struck and vows of “death and destruction from above.”. Oh, and can he please have another $200 billion, because: “Obviously, it takes money to kill bad guys,”
Any thoughts about the innocent, Your Warness? Other than denial of any culpability that is.
DEFINING WINNING
Israel’s interpretation of reasonable cost seems to be to drive Iran into what it calls “state collapse” by relentlessly decapitating the political, military and intelligence hierarchy and destroying its main source of revenue.
One would think that a nation with one of the most sophisticated (and in the case of Iran apparently pervasive and deep-penetrating) intelligence services in the world, and can boast that 22 percent of all Nobel prize winners since 1901 are of Jewish origin, Israel would have figured out the futility of seeking long term security through war.
However, between 1978 and 2024, Israeli invaded Lebanon six times, and declared victory after each one.
Round 7, to try (again) to destroy Iran’s proxy Hezbollah, will no doubt end that way too.
Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has said the war against Iran will take “as long as necessary”.
But Israeli Jews, more than any other people in the world, ought to know that the will to fight for the place you call your country cannot be exterminated.
Nor, in my experience of the march of folly that humanity seems set on, can the resilience of innocent victims to plow on against all odds, be extinguished.
By what ought to be a wonderful coincidence, today marks the first of four manifestations of a force that unites the protagonists and victims of the Iran conflict — gratitude for what they see as blessings, all from the same God.
Today is Eid al-Fitr, the end of the Moslem holy month of Ramadan, an occasion to express gratitude for blessings, and extend compassion and generosity to others.
It is also Nowruz, the Persian new year, a 3,000 year old tradition that celebrates the spring equinox, the end of darkness and the rebirth of nature.
Next in line is Passover (Pesach), which celebrates the emancipation of the Hebrews from Egyptian slavery.
And in the middle that eight day celebration, is Easter, when Christians mark their belief in the death and resurrection of Christ.
And therein lies an ironic clue to the futility of war.
It always entails destruction, yet people keep rebuilding, no matter who knocks them down.
The Iranians may despise their leaders, and dream of a new order, but they are unlikely to forgive and forget what is being done to them under the guise of helping them attain it.
It also seems not to have registered with either Netanyahu or President Donald Trump, that for all their claims of having decimated the Iranian’s capability to fight back, they are showing a remarkable determination to do so, with no apparent concern about consequences, short or long term.
How do you set a deadline for and define victory against that incarnation of folly?
The winning entry — if only for its unselfconscious ambiguity — is this one from an Op-Ed in the New York Times:
“At least another two weeks of attacks will be necessary to ensure the regime cannot pose a serious military threat for several years — if it survives at all. Forcing the threat from Tehran into remission certainly would constitute a military victory, arguably the United States’ first in Iran since 1979.”
If “remission” is victory, does that mean the gods’ job is done?
Ask me in another five years.
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